Saturday, October 06, 2007

CHINA GRAND PRIX - CROWNING OF LEWIS

Firstly, what an amazing year for a F1 rookie. I genuinly think Hamilton has not made a significant error all season and deserves all the glory he should get tomorrow.

He has also landed pole and I confidently expect him to winner the title tomorrow. However, is there another angle to all this. I think the 8-5 on offer on Rakkinon is very good value.

1) Put yourself in the McClaren mindset - basically you need to finish the race tomorrow which almost guarentees top 4. The easiest way to do this in my opinion is to fuel Hamilton mega light to give him the advantage in qualifying and get pole. This should mean he can lead from start until 1st pit stop. However he will pit much earlier than Rakkinon and if Rakkinon is close behind in 2nd then I confidently expect Rakkinon to lead after first round of pitstops.

2) If 1) is correct then will Hamilton genuinly race v Rakkinon and risk any sort of incident - I think not.

3) Even if Massa came into mix he wiould let Rakkinon buy some how - so Alonso down n 4th could be only spanner in works.

Rain is the worry as it is forecast but Rakkinon is very good in the rain.

£200 win Rakkinon 8-5.

1 comment:

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